Stan Shapiro, D.O.

Critical Thinking and Decision Making Skills Seminar

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ERthink Quick Reference  --  5 Skill Sets





Shuttle Thinking


 
--Unique Situations    inherently risky, approach cautiously,  initiators to poor decisions
--Data Deficit    inadequate data makes it mandatory to obtain additional data
--Data Difficulty    overcoming the expense, inconvenience, or difficulty of obtaining the required data
--Emotional Denial    shifts our decisions towards the easier, more comfortable decisions
--Probability vs Gambling    consider the full extent of the gamble component
--Reinforcement    gambling and winning reinforces taking additional risks
--Group Dynamics     tendency to dilute and diffuse group decision responsibility
--Relativity    right vs. wrong decisions relative to time
--Endgame    achieve your goal with minimal risk

Mindset


 
--We All Have the Potential to Make Bad Decisions    no one is immune
--Philosophy of Yes    "How can I" vs. "I can't because"
--Compensate for Being Human    fatigue, personal problems, money, health issues, family crisis, etc

--Admit when you are wrong

--Know when to off-load


Think into Time


 
--Think Into the Future    exploring the various possible outcomes into the future

--Think Into the Past    learning from the similar situations in the past

--Know where you are on the "curve" of time    timing is everything

--We Make Rules to Remind us of the Past

--Time Dulls Our Collective Memory


Patterns

 

--"Experts" see patterns that the rest of us miss

--Pattern Recognition is hardwired to save us time    time saving vs. accuracy dilemma

--Pattern thinking influences our decisions    stereotyping our decision process

--Hang out in the fringe    challenge you normal patterns

--Intuition and Experience    subtle pattern recognition


Fatal Distractions

 
--Don't be distracted by what you know    look for what you know you don't know
--Beware of the comfort zone    knowing feels good, while we avoid the discomfort of not knowing
--Everyone Eventually Dies of Real Disease    be careful questioning the honesty or motives of others
--Randomness will get you
--Constantly Reevaluate    data changes




© Stanley Shapiro 2008   All rights reserved